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NexTick Daily
June 16, 2026 (Tue)

Semiconductor sector dropped 6%, so why did the Dow rise?

Today's Market

Hawkish-debut fears around new Fed Chair Warsh pushed long rates up, concentrating the selling in the highest-multiple AI chips — the Nasdaq fell -1.1% and the semiconductor sector -5.9% on June 16. The value/industrial-heavy Dow, far less rate-sensitive, rose +0.6% — a pullback confined to high-multiple growth, not the whole market.

 Warsh's reported plan to withhold the dot plot, plus hawkish-debut risk, lifted the 10Y toward 4.9% — hitting long-duration AI chips hardest

 With the selling concentrated in chips, the Dow rose +0.6% as money rotated into rate-insensitive value names

 Wellington's Brij Khurana said Warsh "will be hawkish in his debut" — June 17 retail sales and the June 23 FOMC are the next markers

Market Data
S&P 500
7,511.35

▼0.57%
NASDAQ
26,376.34

▼1.15%
DOW
51,999.67

▲0.64%
VIX
76.05

▼5.82%
In Focus

AMD -4.4%, high-multiple growth hit by rising rates With growth expectations already priced deep into the stock, a jump in long rates compresses the present value of distant earnings first.

 A blanket multiple re-rating, not a demand crack — large-cap semis fell uniformly 4–6%

 Micron's (MU) June 24 earnings are the test for whether demand is actually cracking

Platforms emerge as the rate-shelter Money rotating out of semis into less rate-sensitive platform/internet names lifted Uber +5.8%, Meta +4.8%, Palantir +5.2% together.

 Strength against the Nasdaq's -1.1% — flagged as a relative safe-haven in a rising-rate regime

 Uber got an extra lift from post-Iran-deal oil-decline hopes (CNBC's Jim Cramer)

This Week

ALL TIMES EASTERN (ET)

 Wed 6/17 Retail Sales

 Tue 6/23 FOMC Rate Decision

 Tue 6/23 ADP Employment

 Wed 6/24 MU earnings | EPS est $19.47

 Wed 6/24 Beige Book

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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